PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored reference
No 92.1%
No 92.1%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$11K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$1.4K
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Comments
0
7d Change
+1.5 pts
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Jun 29, 26, 7:26 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · No
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Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?
PolymarketWhat will be true about Trump's tariff dividend? ("stimulus check")
Manifold MarketsWill Trump create a $250 bill featuring himself?
KalshiWill Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?
KalshiWill Trump issue dividend payments?
KalshiWill Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration formally creates (e.g., by signing federal legislation or performing executive action) a tariff dividend/rebate by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Any bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect.
- A qualifying payment of any amount distributed to any segment of individual US taxpayers will qualify as long as it is clearly attributed primarily to tariff revenue rather than a routine tax refund or credit.
- The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.