Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?
0.7 pts (24h)Trade PolicyOne-OffUS Politics5mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored reference
No 95%
No 95%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
$13.2K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$4.7K
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Comments
4
7d Change
-0.7 pts
Market data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Sep 10, 26, 4:32 PM UTCApr 1, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
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Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
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- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration formally creates a general dividend, rebate, or stimulus payment meeting the criteria below by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whether by signing federal legislation, by executive action, or by any other official mechanism.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Any bill enacted into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect.
- To qualify, the payment must be for an amount of at least $5,000 per recipient and must be distributed to a broad segment of individual US taxpayers.
- A payment is "broad" if eligibility for it extends to at least a majority (50%) of U.S. individual taxpayers, or if eligibility is limited only by general income thresholds and/or household or filing status rather than by any narrower category.
- The payment must be established as a new, distinct dividend, rebate, or stimulus payment.