KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 29, 2026, 2:47 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored price
No 76.5%
No 76.5%Market quality
46 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$599.8
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingAug 24, 26, 9:00 PM UTCJan 2, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the U.S. lower its 50% tariffs on Canadian goods before November 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill world crude steel production in 2026 be at least 1,880 million tonnes?
Manifold MarketsWhat will the tariff rate on Canadian imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
KalshiCanadian counter-tariff rate on U.S. EVs at the end of 2026
KalshiCanadian counter-tariff rate on U.S. electric trucks at the end of 2026
KalshiTariff increase on Canada in effect by which date?
PolymarketRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:The New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBCBBCThe GuardianABC News AustraliaSouth China Morning PostCBCThe VergeFederal Register
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. Tariffs are in effect when a presidential proclamation, executive order or Federal Register notice is legally in force and being applied to imports. An announcement, including a social media post, and an order signed but not yet effective, do NOT count The tariff must be in force at 50% on ALL of cars, trucks, automotive parts and steel. A tariff in force on only some of those goods, or at a rate below 50%, resolves this market NO An effective date later than Jan 1, 2027 resolves this market NO, even if the instrument has issued If a court blocks the tariffs before they take effect, this market resolves NO
Rules for each outcome
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.