Will world crude steel production in 2026 be at least 1,880 million tonnes?
CommoditiesOne-OffTrade PolicyWeatherChina4moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 55.2%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleNov 26, 25, 5:16 AM UTCJan 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Use the first worldsteel “World Steel in Figures” / Steel Data Viewer that lists 2026 world crude steel.
- Let WORLD_2026 be the global total.
- YES if WORLD_2026 ≥ 1,880 Mt, otherwise NO.
- Resolution criteria
- Use the worldsteel Steel Data Viewer, which provides crude steel production data updated monthly and features an interactive map showing global steel production.
- The market resolves YES if 2026 world crude steel production is at least 1,880 million tonnes, otherwise NO. worldsteel publishes World Steel in Figures annually (usually May/June) and the Steel Statistical Yearbook (usually December), which will provide the official 2026 figure.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will world crude steel production in 2026 be at least 1,880 million tonnes??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 55% as of September 17, 2026.
- When does Will world crude steel production in 2026 be at least 1,880 million tonnes? resolve?
- Will world crude steel production in 2026 be at least 1,880 million tonnes? is scheduled to resolve on January 31, 2027.
- How is Will world crude steel production in 2026 be at least 1,880 million tonnes? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Use the first worldsteel “World Steel in Figures” / Steel Data Viewer that lists 2026 world crude steel.