By 2026, will crude steel production outside China be at least 8% higher than in 2024?
CommoditiesOne-OffChina9mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 90.6%
Forecasters
19
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingNov 26, 25, 5:17 AM UTCAug 11, 27, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in November 2026?
PolymarketRules
From worldsteel country breakdowns:
- Let WORLD_2024, CHINA_2024, WORLD_2026, CHINA_2026 be crude steel totals in 2024 and 2026.
- Define EXCHINA_2024 = WORLD_2024 − CHINA_2024; EXCHINA_2026 = WORLD_2026 − CHINA_2026.
- YES if EXCHINA_2026 / EXCHINA_2024 ≥ 1.08, otherwise NO.
- I'll search for current information about global crude steel production to provide context for this market.#### Resolution criteria
- Total world crude steel production was 1,882.6 Mt in 2024.
