KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 20% 77%+9.0ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
25 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$17.3
Liquidity
$343.2
Low liquiditySpread
78.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Sep 15, 26, 12:00 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Canadian counter-tariff rate on U.S. electric trucks at the end of 2026
KalshiWhat will the tariff rate on Canadian imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
KalshiUS effective tariff rate for Q3 2026
KalshiWill the U.S. lower its 50% tariffs on Canadian goods before November 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?
PolymarketTariff increase on Canada in effect by which date?
PolymarketRules
If the Canadian federal counter-tariff rate applicable to U.S.-origin battery-electric passenger vehicles as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET is above
Settles via:Government of Canada
- 0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- “Battery-electric passenger vehicles” refers to vehicles classified under Canadian tariff item 8703.80.00.
- The measured rate is the standard counter-tariff percentage applicable to non-CUSMA-compliant vehicles, excluding ordinary customs duties, sales taxes, and importer-specific exemptions, remissions or rebates.
- Settlement uses the rate actually in effect at the specified time, incorporating amendments, suspensions and repeals effective by that time.
- Announced changes taking effect afterward do not count.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Canadian counter-tariff rate on U.S. EVs at the end of 2026?
- Kalshi prices Above 20% at 77% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does Canadian counter-tariff rate on U.S. EVs at the end of 2026 resolve?
- Canadian counter-tariff rate on U.S. EVs at the end of 2026 is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Canadian counter-tariff rate on U.S. EVs at the end of 2026 settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Canadian federal counter-tariff rate applicable to U.S.-origin battery-electric passenger vehicles as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET is above