Tariff increase on Canada in effect by which date?
0.1 pts (24h)One-OffTrade PolicyPoliticsUS PoliticsChina2mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo live quotesStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 1:52 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
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December 31, · —
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Stored reference
December 31, 4%
December 31, 4%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
$328
Low liquidityOpen interest
$2.5K
Bid / Ask
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December 31,Spread
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Comments
5
7d Change
-9.7 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJan 24, 26, 5:35 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
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June 30,Lost
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- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
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Market depth · December 31,
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
On January 24, President Trump announced that the United States would apply a 100% tariff to all imports from Canada if a trade deal with China goes through.
- (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/china/trump-threatens-canada-with-100-tariff-over-possible-deal-with-china-2026-01-24/).
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if an increase in the general tariff rate on imports into the United States from Canada goes into effect for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date of the tariffs (as set by legislation or executive action) must have passed without being further delayed or suspended.
- Only tariffs which are in effect will qualify.