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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Trade Policy
  3. Will Trump make a new free trade agreement?
Will Trump make a new free trade agreement?

Will Trump make a new free trade agreement?

1.0% (24h)One-OffTrade PolicyUS Politics2y
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 49%-1.0%
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0.4

Liquidity

$78.4

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

41.0% / 50.0%

Spread

21.9%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Jan 10, 25, 3:00 PMJan 20, 29, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes49%

Rules

If a new free trade agreement with any country has become law before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi

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Rules

If a new free trade agreement with any country has become law before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi