KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Oct 27, 2026, 10:42 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Before Jan 20, 2029 · —
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Stored price
Before Jan 20, 2029 37%
Before Jan 20, 2029 37%Market quality
38 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$8.1K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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Before Jan 20, 2029Spread
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Market data
Updated 27 minutes ago
Oct 8, 26, 7:36 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before Jan 20, 2029
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement with China?
KalshiWhen will there be a UK/US free trade agreement?
Manifold MarketsWill the EU-Mercosur free trade agreement be ratified by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the UK 🇬🇧 sign a free trade deal with the USA 🇺🇸 before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will join the CPTPP trade agreement before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Australia's Parliament pass the EU free trade deal?
KalshiRules
If a free trade agreement with any country has become law, either through Senate ratification and Presidential approval or through Congressional-Executive Agreement and the signature of the President (or at least, signing the implementing legislation) after Issuance before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Library of Congress
Rules for each outcome
- Before Jan 20, 2029
- If a free trade agreement with any country has become law, either through Senate ratification and Presidential approval or through Congressional-Executive Agreement and the signature of the President (or at least, signing the implementing legislation) after Issuance before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If a free trade agreement with any country has become law, either through Senate ratification and Presidential approval or through Congressional-Executive Agreement and the signature of the President (or at least, signing the implementing legislation) after Issuance before January 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
