When will insulated copper cable face Section 232 restrictions?
4.0 pts (24h)CommoditiesOne-OffTrade Policy4mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Before Jan 1, 2028 25%
Market quality
39 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0.5
Liquidity
$1K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
12.0% / 17.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Jul 28, 26, 4:00 PMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM
Trends
Rules
If a Section 232 import restriction takes effect for articles classified under HTSUS statistical reporting number 8544.49.3040 after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Federal Register
- A qualifying restriction is an additional duty above 0%, tariff-rate quota, absolute quota, or other binding quantitative import limit.
- Coverage through a successor or broader provision qualifies only if it fully encompasses the target line.
- Country carve-outs, metal-content thresholds, and other generally applicable conditions do not disqualify coverage, but coverage limited to a product or end-use subset of the line does.
- The restriction must take effect; merely signing or issuing an instrument with a later effective date does not qualify until that date.
- Only reporting from the Federal Register qualifies for the purposes of this market.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for When will insulated copper cable face Section 232 restrictions??
- Kalshi prices Before Jan 1, 2028 at 25% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does When will insulated copper cable face Section 232 restrictions? resolve?
- When will insulated copper cable face Section 232 restrictions? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is When will insulated copper cable face Section 232 restrictions? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If a Section 232 import restriction takes effect for articles classified under HTSUS statistical reporting number 8544.49.3040 after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.