Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by which date?
0.5 pts (24h)RegulationOne-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsElectionTrade PolicyCommodities1y
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
2027 48%+6.0pt
Market quality
39 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$353.7
Low liquidityBid / Ask
32.0% / 36.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
7d Change
-13.5 pts
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Jul 22, 26, 3:03 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
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GeminiRules
HTSUS statistical line 8544.49.3040 targets insulated copper conductors, over 600V up to 1,000V, not fitted with connectors.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if a legally operative Section 232 instrument subjects all articles under this line to a duty above 0%, a tariff-rate quota, an absolute quota, or another quantitative restriction by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- For the purposes of this market, legally operative Section 232 instruments include but are not limited to: a presidential proclamation, a Commerce-USTR determination under that proclamation's clause 11 process, another Federal Register or chapter 99 action under Section 232 authority, or an Act of Congress.
- A qualifying instrument may name the line itself or any broader provision that fully includes it (e.g., tariff line 8544.49.30, subheading 8544.49, or heading 8544).
- If USITC renumbers the line, its successor will count the same way.