KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above $4.45 · —
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Stored price
Above $4.25 48.5%Market line of 12 lines
Above $4.25 48.5%Market quality
43 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$618.7
Open interest
$8.7K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above $4.45Spread
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Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Nov 1, 26, 4:00 AM UTCNov 30, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 1h (informational)
Market depth · Above $4.45
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How low will US gas prices get in Nov 2026?
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KalshiWill US gas prices hit $6/gallon in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIn which months will there be a day the US gas average is at $4 or below?
Manifold MarketsRules
If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $4.25 at any time from November 1, 2026 through November 30, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:AAA
Rules for each outcome
- Above $4.45
- If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $4.45 at any time from November 1, 2026 through November 30, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4.35
- If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $4.35 at any time from November 1, 2026 through November 30, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4.25
- If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $4.25 at any time from November 1, 2026 through November 30, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4.30
- If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $4.30 at any time from November 1, 2026 through November 30, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4.40
- If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $4.40 at any time from November 1, 2026 through November 30, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4.55
- If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $4.55 at any time from November 1, 2026 through November 30, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4.60
- If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $4.60 at any time from November 1, 2026 through November 30, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4.70
- If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $4.70 at any time from November 1, 2026 through November 30, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4.80
- If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $4.80 at any time from November 1, 2026 through November 30, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4.50
- If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $4.50 at any time from November 1, 2026 through November 30, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4.75
- If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $4.75 at any time from November 1, 2026 through November 30, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $4.65
- If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $4.65 at any time from November 1, 2026 through November 30, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
