KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Yes 83%
Market quality
46 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$2.6K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
27.0% / 34.0%
Spread
7.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Jul 24, 26, 7:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
If Ontario ends its broad restrictions on U.S.-produced beverage alcohol by putting into effect a policy authorizing the LCBO to generally resume purchasing and supplying those products for ordinary commercial sale in the province after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:the Government of Ontario
- Only reporting from the government of Ontario qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify.
- Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Ontario lift its U.S. alcohol restrictions in 2026??
- Kalshi prices Yes at 83% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Ontario lift its U.S. alcohol restrictions in 2026? resolve?
- Will Ontario lift its U.S. alcohol restrictions in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will Ontario lift its U.S. alcohol restrictions in 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Ontario ends its broad restrictions on U.S.-produced beverage alcohol by putting into effect a policy authorizing the LCBO to generally resume purchasing and supplying those products for ordinary commercial sale in the province after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.