Will Trump face criminal charges relating to his involvement with Epstein?
One-OffUS PoliticsCrime & Justice3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 89.6%
Forecasters
12
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleDec 16, 25, 8:19 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Peter Mandelson to face criminal charges in 2026?
Manifold MarketsAndrew Mountbatten-Windsor (formerly Prince Andrew) to face criminal charges in 2026?
Manifold MarketsCriminal charges in Pfizer building structural failure by December 31?
PolymarketWill Gustavo Petro face a criminal trial before January 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill anyone face federal charges tied to Fulton County’s 2020 election?
KalshiIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Trump is formally charged with any criminal offense(s) related to his involvement with Jeffrey Epstein.
- This includes charges related to knowledge of, facilitation of, or participation in Epstein's sex trafficking operation or related crimes.
- Resolution is based on official court filings or Department of Justice charging documents.
- The market resolves NO if Trump is never charged with such crimes.
- The market resolves N/A if Trump dies before any charges are filed.
Open markets
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $829.4K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.6pt47.5%
- October 31-1.0pt28.7%
- September 30-2.0pt13.1%
+17 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis+0.1pt4.8%
+35 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $63.6M
- 24h Vol
- $343.1K
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.1pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.1pt14%
+48 more outcomes
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.4pt55.7%
- Benjamin Netanyahu-3.0pt27.8%
- Naftali Bennett8.3%
+16 more outcomes
- What will Trump say during his remarks at Steel Across America?
- $LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Trump face criminal charges relating to his involvement with Epstein??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 90% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Trump face criminal charges relating to his involvement with Epstein? resolve?
- Will Trump face criminal charges relating to his involvement with Epstein? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will Trump face criminal charges relating to his involvement with Epstein? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria