Will Gustavo Petro face a criminal trial before January 1, 2027?
US PoliticsOne-OffLatin AmericaCrime & Justice3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 64.4%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleAug 19, 26, 2:06 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
Several investigations and allegations surrounding Petro's administration could potentially lead to criminal proceedings.
- This market focuses on a later stage of the legal process: whether Petro actually faces a criminal trial before the end of 2026.
- The market does not ask whether he will be investigated or charged, but whether a criminal trial formally begins.
- Resolution criteria:
- YES: If Gustavo Petro formally enters a criminal trial before January 1, 2027, following the initiation of judicial proceedings against him.
- NO: If no criminal trial begins before that date.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Gustavo Petro face a criminal trial before January 1, 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 64% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Gustavo Petro face a criminal trial before January 1, 2027? resolve?
- Will Gustavo Petro face a criminal trial before January 1, 2027? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will Gustavo Petro face a criminal trial before January 1, 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Several investigations and allegations surrounding Petro's administration could potentially lead to criminal proceedings.