Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 70%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Feb 9, 26, 9:20 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor (formerly Prince Andrew) to face criminal charges in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump face criminal charges relating to his involvement with Epstein?
Manifold MarketsCriminal charges in Pfizer building structural failure by December 31?
PolymarketWill anybody face criminal charges as a result of the Oceangate submersible incident by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Gustavo Petro face a criminal trial before January 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
PolymarketRules
If Peter is charged criminally in any country (in relation to the Epstein files or anything else), the market resolves to Yes.
- If that has not happened by the end of 2026, it resolves to No. He does not have to be convicted and the trial does not have to start, just a charge is enough.
