Before Jan 2027
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored price
No 79.5%
No 79.5%Market quality
66 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.6K
Open interest
$1.6K
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Oct 19, 26, 5:15 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Ilhan Omar's citizenship be revoked in 2026?
KalshiWill Ilhan Omar lose her citizenship by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsIlhan Omar federally charged by which date?
PolymarketWill Ilhan Omar be forcibly removed from the USA by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Rep. Ilhan Omar be federally charged by which date?
FutuurIlhan Omar arrested by which date?
PolymarketRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:U.S. Department of JusticePACERThe New York TimesAssociated PressReutersThe Wall Street JournalThe Washington PostAxiosPolitico
- A lawsuit or some other formal adversarial legal process (such as pre-complaint discovery or an arbitration claim) is encompassed by the Payout Criterion. The following also count: A federal criminal charge for unlawfully procuring her naturalization or citizenship, including a false statement made to obtain it (such as under 18 U.S.C. 1425), or a conspiracy to do so A USCIS or DHS notice of intent to cancel her certificate of citizenship, certificate of naturalization, or another citizenship document or record (8 U.S.C. 1453) A removal, civil or immigration-court proceeding brought by the U.S. government asserting that she is not a U.S. citizen The following do NOT count: Public statements or announcements of intent Search warrants, grand jury subpoenas, target letters and seizures of property The opening or continuation of an investigation Passport actions Proceedings Omar brings, even if the government contests her citizenship in them Other criminal charges, including charges for later claims of citizenship such as passport or voting statements
Rules for each outcome
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.