PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 12, 2026, 10:47 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
December 31, · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored reference
December 31, 4%
December 31, 4%Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$16.2K
Liquidity
$114K
High liquidityOpen interest
$11.6K
Bid / Ask
— / —
December 31,Spread
—
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingNov 12, 26, 12:10 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
Loading top holders
Market depth · December 31,
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by which date?
PolymarketJensen Huang divorce by which date?
PolymarketWill investors find a second mistress involving Jensen Huang before dec 31, 2026
Manifold MarketsWill Jensen Huang meet Trump again in 2026?
KalshiWill Jensen Huang cease to be CEO of Nvidia before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Jensen Huang talk to Trump again in Nov 2026?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jensen Huang, co-founder of NVIDIA, is arrested between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A qualifying arrest occurs when Huang is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
- (i) he is criminally booked or processed; (ii) he is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument; (iii) he is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or (iv) he is transported to a police station or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
- The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without being taken into physical custody will not qualify.
- The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.