PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityNo 98%
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$32.7K
High liquidityBid / Ask
1.9% / 2.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spread7d Change
-0.1 pts
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Feb 9, 26, 11:56 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes2%
Volume trend
$2Jul 221d of dataJul 25
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence confirming that Jeffrey Epstein is Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator of Bitcoin, is made public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Qualifying evidence includes, but is not limited to, verified documentation, blockchain evidence, or other definitive evidence.
- If Satoshi Nakamoto is conclusively identified as a group or collective rather than a single individual, definitive evidence that Jeffrey Epstein was a member of that group will qualify.
- Unverified or anonymous claims, speculation, memes, jokes, sarcasm, or unsubstantiated reports will not qualify.
- The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.