PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
Loading selected book…
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Stored reference
No 99%
No 99%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
$15.9K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$8.3K
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Comments
20
Market data
Updated 39 minutes ago
Feb 9, 26, 11:56 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
Loading top holders
Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
PolymarketWill any of the following be confirmed to be Satoshi Nakamoto?
Manifold MarketsJeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
PolymarketIs Epstein Satoshi, or will Satoshi move BTC in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin before 2027?
KalshiWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence confirming that Jeffrey Epstein is Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator of Bitcoin, is made public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Qualifying evidence includes, but is not limited to, verified documentation, blockchain evidence, or other definitive evidence.
- If Satoshi Nakamoto is conclusively identified as a group or collective rather than a single individual, definitive evidence that Jeffrey Epstein was a member of that group will qualify.
- Unverified or anonymous claims, speculation, memes, jokes, sarcasm, or unsubstantiated reports will not qualify.
- The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.