PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 99%+0.1pt
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$27.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
0.7% / 1.4%
Spread
0.7 pt
Tight spreadComments
20
7d Change
-0.8 pts
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Feb 9, 26, 11:56 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
PolymarketWill any of the following be confirmed to be Satoshi Nakamoto?
Manifold MarketsJeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
PolymarketIs Epstein Satoshi, or will Satoshi move BTC in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin by 2027?
KalshiWill we know who Satoshi Nakamoto is within two years of Tyler Cowen’s prediction?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence confirming that Jeffrey Epstein is Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator of Bitcoin, is made public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Qualifying evidence includes, but is not limited to, verified documentation, blockchain evidence, or other definitive evidence.
- If Satoshi Nakamoto is conclusively identified as a group or collective rather than a single individual, definitive evidence that Jeffrey Epstein was a member of that group will qualify.
- Unverified or anonymous claims, speculation, memes, jokes, sarcasm, or unsubstantiated reports will not qualify.
- The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Open markets
BitcoinKALSHIBTC price on Sep 10, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $77,200 or above99%
- $77,100 or above99%
- $77,000 or above99%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.8M
- 24h Vol
- $1.4M
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $74,750 or above99%
- $73,750 or above99%
- $74,500 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3M
- 24h Vol
- $1.3M
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in September?
- ↑ 80,000+31.4pt100%
- ↓ 77,500100%
- ↑ 77,500100%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $77,329.48 target
- Yes71%
- No29%
- Total Vol
- $712.7K
- 24h Vol
- $590.9K
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 11?
- 70,000+0.1pt100%
- 72,000+0.5pt100%
- 74,000-0.6pt97%
+8 more outcomes
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $69,000 or above99%
- $69,500 or above98%
- $68,500 or above98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.9M
- 24h Vol
- $371.9K
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- What price will Bitcoin hit September 7-13?
- What price will Bitcoin hit on September 10?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- How high will BTC get in September?
- BTC price range on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- How low will BTC get in September?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 12?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 14?
- BTC price range on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31??
- Polymarket prices No at 99% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? resolve?
- Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence confirming that Jeffrey Epstein is Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator of Bitcoin, is made public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.