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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Bitcoin
  3. Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

BitcoinOne-OffCrypto6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 3%
Market quality

49 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$26.1K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

2.7% / 2.8%

Spread

3.7%

Moderate spread
7d Change

+0.1%

Market data

Updated 3 minutes ago

Feb 9, 26, 11:57 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes3%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence confirming that Jeffrey Epstein is Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator of Bitcoin, is made public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Qualifying evidence includes, but is not limited to, verified documentation, blockchain evidence, or other definitive evidence.
  • If Satoshi Nakamoto is conclusively identified as a group or collective rather than a single individual, definitive evidence that Jeffrey Epstein was a member of that group will qualify.
  • Unverified or anonymous claims, speculation, memes, jokes, sarcasm, or unsubstantiated reports will not qualify.
  • The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,900.85+2.27%ChainlinkLINK$7.82+1.12%EthereumETH$1,660.04+1.61%SolanaSOL$65.40+2.46%XRPXRP$1.12+0.83%BNBBNB$602.49+2.80%

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence confirming that Jeffrey Epstein is Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator of Bitcoin, is made public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Qualifying evidence includes, but is not limited to, verified documentation, blockchain evidence, or other definitive evidence.
  • If Satoshi Nakamoto is conclusively identified as a group or collective rather than a single individual, definitive evidence that Jeffrey Epstein was a member of that group will qualify.
  • Unverified or anonymous claims, speculation, memes, jokes, sarcasm, or unsubstantiated reports will not qualify.
  • The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.