KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Before Jan 1, 2027 10%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$43.2K
High liquidityMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Jul 20, 26, 7:00 PM UTCOct 1, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Netanyahu arrested by which date?
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Manifold MarketsRules
If Benjamin Netanyahu has been arrested the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Fox NewsSemaforThe InformationCNBCthe Associated PressThe Wall Street JournalCNNPoliticoMSNBCThe Washington PostReutersThe New York Times
- For purposes of this Contract, "arrested" means: Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant Being formally booked or processed following detention
- The following scenarios would satisfy the Payout Criterion: Benjamin Netanyahu is handcuffed and taken to a police station Benjamin Netanyahu surrenders at a police station or courthouse with their attorney Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested in any country and this is reported by a Source Agency Benjamin Netanyahu is detained at an airport or border crossing and formally arrested
- The following scenarios would NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: An arrest warrant being issued but not executed Benjamin Netanyahu being briefly detained but not arrested Benjamin Netanyahu being questioned or interviewed without arrest Benjamin Netanyahu being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring without physical custody Benjamin Netanyahu being named in an indictment without arrest Benjamin Netanyahu being arrested after Oct 1, 2026 Protective custody that is not an arrest
- The following scenarios would NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: An arrest warrant being issued but not executed Benjamin Netanyahu being briefly detained but not arrested Benjamin Netanyahu being questioned or interviewed without arrest Benjamin Netanyahu being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring without physical custody Benjamin Netanyahu being named in an indictment without arrest Benjamin Netanyahu being arrested after Nov 1, 2026 Protective custody that is not an arrest
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Netanyahu be arrested??
- Kalshi prices Before Jan 1, 2027 at 10% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Netanyahu be arrested? resolve?
- Will Netanyahu be arrested? is scheduled to resolve on October 1, 2026.
- How is Will Netanyahu be arrested? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Benjamin Netanyahu has been arrested the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.