KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Before Jan 1, 2027 · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored price
Before Jan 1, 2027 3.5%Leader of 3 outcomes
Before Jan 1, 2027 3.5%Market quality
65 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$244.1
Open interest
$47.5K
High open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Before Jan 1, 2027Spread
—
Market data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Jul 20, 26, 7:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Before Oct 1, 2026Lost
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before Jan 1, 2027
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Benjamin Netanyahu ever be arrested, detained or face trial for war crimes?
Manifold MarketsViktor Orbán arrested by December 31?
PolymarketWho will be arrested in 2026?
KalshiWho will be arrested before 2027?
PolymarketIlhan Omar arrested by which date?
PolymarketWhich Trump children will be indicted or arrested by the midterm elections in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
If Benjamin Netanyahu has been arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this Contract, "arrested" means: Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant Being formally booked or processed following detention The following scenarios would satisfy the Payout Criterion: Benjamin Netanyahu is handcuffed and taken to a police station Benjamin Netanyahu surrenders at a police station or courthouse with their attorney Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested in any country and this is reported by a Source Agency Benjamin Netanyahu is detained at an airport or border crossing and fo…
Settles via:Fox NewsSemaforThe Informationthe Associated PressThe Wall Street JournalCNNPoliticoMSNBCThe Washington PostReutersThe New York TimesBloomberg NewsAxiosABCCBSNBC
Rules for each outcome
- Before Oct 1, 2026
- If Benjamin Netanyahu has been arrested before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this Contract, "arrested" means: Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant Being formally booked or processed following detention The following scenarios would satisfy the Payout Criterion: Benjamin Netanyahu is handcuffed and taken to a police station Benjamin Netanyahu surrenders at a police station or courthouse with their attorney Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested in any country and this is reported by a Source Agency Benjamin Netanyahu is detained at an airport or border crossing and fo…
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Benjamin Netanyahu has been arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this Contract, "arrested" means: Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant Being formally booked or processed following detention The following scenarios would satisfy the Payout Criterion: Benjamin Netanyahu is handcuffed and taken to a police station Benjamin Netanyahu surrenders at a police station or courthouse with their attorney Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested in any country and this is reported by a Source Agency Benjamin Netanyahu is detained at an airport or border crossing and fo…
- Before Nov 1, 2026
- If Benjamin Netanyahu has been arrested before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this Contract, "arrested" means: Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant Being formally booked or processed following detention The following scenarios would satisfy the Payout Criterion: Benjamin Netanyahu is handcuffed and taken to a police station Benjamin Netanyahu surrenders at a police station or courthouse with their attorney Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested in any country and this is reported by a Source Agency Benjamin Netanyahu is detained at an airport or border crossing and fo…
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Netanyahu arrested by…? · December 31 5%