KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityBefore Oct 1, 2026 2%-1.0%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3.3K
Liquidity
$22K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
2.0% / 3.0%
Spread
50.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Jul 20, 26, 7:00 PMOct 1, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Before Oct 1, 20262%
Volume trend
$3.3kJul 205d of dataJul 24
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If Benjamin Netanyahu has been arrested before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For purposes of this Contract, "arrested" means: Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant Being formally booked or processed following detention
- The following scenarios would satisfy the Payout Criterion: Benjamin Netanyahu is handcuffed and taken to a police station Benjamin Netanyahu surrenders at a police station or courthouse with their attorney Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested in any country and this is reported by a Source Agency Benjamin Netanyahu is detained at an airport or border crossing and formally arrested
- The following scenarios would NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: An arrest warrant being issued but not executed Benjamin Netanyahu being briefly detained but not arrested Benjamin Netanyahu being questioned or interviewed without arrest Benjamin Netanyahu being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring without physical custody Benjamin Netanyahu being named in an indictment without arrest Benjamin Netanyahu being arrested after Oct 1, 2026 Protective custody that is not an arrest
- If Benjamin Netanyahu has been arrested before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following scenarios would NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: An arrest warrant being issued but not executed Benjamin Netanyahu being briefly detained but not arrested Benjamin Netanyahu being questioned or interviewed without arrest Benjamin Netanyahu being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring without physical custody Benjamin Netanyahu being named in an indictment without arrest Benjamin Netanyahu being arrested after Nov 1, 2026 Protective custody that is not an arrest