PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Oct 24, 2026, 9:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
December 31 · —
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Stored reference
December 31 5%
December 31 5%Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
$8.7K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$2.4K
Bid / Ask
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December 31Spread
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Comments
1
7d Change
-1.0 pts
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Jul 20, 26, 8:35 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
September 30Lost
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · December 31
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Benjamin Netanyahu ever be arrested, detained or face trial for war crimes?
Manifold MarketsViktor Orbán arrested by December 31?
PolymarketIlhan Omar arrested by which date?
PolymarketWho will be arrested in 2026?
KalshiWho will be arrested before 2027?
PolymarketFlávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested between market creation and the listed October 31, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
- (i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed; (ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument; (iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or (iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
- The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify.
- The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Will Netanyahu be arrested? · Before Oct 1, 2026 5%