PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
December 31 · —
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Stored reference
December 31 20%
December 31 20%Market quality
71 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$8.6K
Liquidity
$37.6K
High liquidityBid / Ask
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December 31Spread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 21 minutes ago
Oct 12, 26, 3:49 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Market depth · December 31
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Ilhan Omar be deported in 2026?
PolymarketWill Ilhan Omar be a Member of Congress at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich of these things will happen in relation to Ilhan Omar in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Ilhan Omar win the Minnesota 5th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExWill Ilhan Omar lose her citizenship by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Ilhan Omar be forcibly removed from the USA by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilhan Omar is arrested between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying arrest occurs when Omar is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
- (i) she is criminally booked or processed; (ii) she is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument; (iii) she is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or (iv) she is transported to a police station or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
- The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without being taken into physical custody will not qualify.
- The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
