KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityYes 17%
Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3.5K
Liquidity
$212.6K
High liquidityBid / Ask
17.0% / 19.0%
Spread
11.8%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Nov 9, 24, 7:00 PMJan 20, 29, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes17%
Compare venues· No
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | Medium | 83% | — | $3.5K | $212.6K | 19 minutes ago | |
 Manifold Markets85% match · verified | — | 94% | — | — | — | yesterday | Open → |
Also available on Manifold Markets
Will Donald Trump be impeached and removed during his second term?
2y
94.4%
5.6%
Community forecast83 forecastersType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
If the President of the United States has been impeached and convicted by the U.S.
- Senate before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The President must be the sitting President as of the day. the Senate votes on conviction to be included in this market.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$3.5kJul 225d of dataJul 26
Related Markets
Trump out as President before 2027?
$4KYes: 7%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Who will be arrested in 2026?
$1.6KBarack Obama: 6%KALSHI
KALSHIWill SBF receive a presidential pardon by end 2026?
$1.5KYes: 3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Maduro Prison Time?
$1.4KNo prison time: 34%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
$478.7Yes: 67%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWill an official mugshot of Anthony Fauci be published before his death?
$200Yes: 8.3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActive in these topics
Related News
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News
White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk
Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News
White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph
California duo accused of laundering crypto from fentanyl and meth salesCrypto News
LayerZero Executor Wallets Undergo Security Breach, $2.4 Million DrainedBlockchain ReporterRules
If the President of the United States has been impeached and convicted by the U.S.
- Senate before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The President must be the sitting President as of the day. the Senate votes on conviction to be included in this market.