KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityYes 61%-3.0%
Market quality
91 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$1.7K
Liquidity
$128.5K
High liquidityBid / Ask
61.0% / 62.0%
Spread
1.6%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 21 minutes ago
Nov 8, 24, 3:00 PMJan 20, 29, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes61%
CoinRithm reference61%· 2 venues· ±8 pts
YesNoMANIFOLD MARKETS
YesNo
POLYMARKET
Also available on Manifold Markets
Will Donald Trump be impeached during his second term?
2y
68.2%
31.8%
Community forecast375 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$126.9K
24h Vol$787.9
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Polymarket
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
1.5%2y
+0.0%69%
-0.0%31%
80 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$70.7K
24h Vol$311.5
POLYMARKETRules
If the President of the United States has been impeached before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The President must be in office at the time an impeachment resolution passes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$1.7kJul 27d of dataJul 8
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If the President of the United States has been impeached before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The President must be in office at the time an impeachment resolution passes.