PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probabilityYes 69%+0.0%
Market quality
80 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$311.5
Liquidity
$33.4K
High liquidityBid / Ask
67.0% / 71.0%
Spread
6.0%
Moderate spread7d Change
+1.5%
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Mar 19, 26, 6:06 PMJan 20, 29, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes69%
CoinRithm reference64%· 2 venues· ±5 pts
YesNo
KALSHI
YesNoMANIFOLD MARKETS
Also available on Kalshi
Will President Trump be impeached during his term?
2y
64%
36%
91 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$437.8K
24h Vol$889.1
KALSHIAlso available on Manifold Markets
Will Donald Trump be impeached during his second term?
2y
68.2%
31.8%
Community forecast375 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$126.9K
24h Vol$787.9
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$312Jul 27d of dataJul 8
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This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.