Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
0.5 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsCrime & Justice2y
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 1, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Yes 66%+0.5pt
Market quality
65 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.1K
Liquidity
$35.8K
High liquidityBid / Ask
65.0% / 67.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
7d Change
-1.0 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingMar 19, 26, 6:06 PMJan 20, 29, 12:00 AM
Trends
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for CoinRithm reference is 68%. Quotes span about 2 percentage points between the widest venues.
CoinRithm reference 68% · 2 venues · 2 pt venue spread
