Will the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends?
One-OffUS PoliticsGeopolitics2yany 3rd Amendment case
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored price
No 94.8%
No 94.8%Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$57.2
Open interest
$4.4K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
—
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Jul 18, 25, 2:00 PM UTCJan 20, 29, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · No
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the Supreme Court hear a case disputing the 2028 Presidential Election, and how will they rule?
Manifold MarketsWill the Supreme Court hear a case on Trump's tariffs in 2026?
KalshiWhich Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?
KalshiWhat will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump's term?
KalshiWill the US Supreme Court substantially strike down rent control during Trump's term?
Manifold MarketsWill a supreme court justice die in office during trump's term?
Manifold MarketsRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:Supreme Court
- The case must meet the following requirements: (1) The petition for certiorari explicitly raises a claim or question under the Third Amendment to the United States Constitution as a question presented; OR (2) The lower court decision being appealed explicitly addressed a Third Amendment claim on the merits; OR (3) The Supreme Court's order granting certiorari explicitly identifies a Third Amendment issue as a question for review. For the avoidance of doubt: A case where the Third Amendment is mentioned only in passing, in dicta, or as part of a general constitutional analysis without being a distinct claim SHALL NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion A case where the Third Amendment is raised only in amicus briefs but not by the parties SHALL NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion. Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes: the Court grants cert in a case where a homeowner challenges military housing requirements under the Third Amendment; the Court grants cert in a case where the question presented is "Whether police officers qualify as 'soldiers' under the Third Amendment”; the Court grants cert where a lower court ruled on the scope of Third Amendment protections and that ruling is being appealed.
Rules for each outcome
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
