KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals 73.8%Leader of 5 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
59 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$25
Liquidity
$14.2K
Medium liquiditySpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Nov 9, 24, 7:00 PM UTCJan 20, 29, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
If on Jan 20, 2029 there are 6 Supreme Court justices appointed by Republican Presidents and 3 Supreme Court justices appointed by Democrats, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Library of Congress
- If there are the named outcome at the time of Expiration, then that strike will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No. If on Jan 20, 2029 there are 7 Supreme Court justices appointed by Republican Presidents and 2 Supreme Court justices appointed by Democrats, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If on Jan 20, 2029 there are 8 Supreme Court justices appointed by Republican Presidents and 1 Supreme Court justices appointed by Democrats, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If on Jan 20, 2029 there are 9 Supreme Court justices appointed by Republican Presidents and 0 Supreme Court justices appointed by Democrats, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If on Jan 20, 2029 there are N/A Supreme Court justices appointed by Republican Presidents and N/A Supreme Court justices appointed by Democrats, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
US Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $808.4K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 more outcomes
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 more outcomes
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt15.8%
- Total Vol
- $28.3M
- 24h Vol
- $342.3K
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.2%
- Marco Rubio20.2%
- Ron DeSantis+0.1pt4.8%
+35 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $63.6M
- 24h Vol
- $338.6K
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for What will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump's term??
- Kalshi prices 6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals at 74% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does What will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump's term? resolve?
- What will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump's term? is scheduled to resolve on January 20, 2029.
- How is What will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump's term? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If on Jan 20, 2029 there are 6 Supreme Court justices appointed by Republican Presidents and 3 Supreme Court justices appointed by Democrats, then the market resolves to Yes.