KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Samuel Alito · —
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Stored price
Samuel Alito 66%Leader of 9 outcomes
Samuel Alito 66%Market quality
63 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$289.4
Open interest
$42.2K
High open interestBid / Ask
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Samuel AlitoSpread
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Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Dec 21, 24, 3:00 PM UTCJan 20, 29, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Samuel Alito
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How many Supreme Court justices will the President confirm?
KalshiHow many supreme court justices will Trump appoint during his current term
Manifold MarketsWill the number of U.S. Supreme Court Justices confirmed between June 15, 2026 and January 20, 2029 be at least one?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump appoint at least 2 Supreme Court Justices during his second term?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the Republican-Democrat balance of US Supreme Court justices by the 2029 inauguration?
Manifold MarketsWill the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends?
KalshiRules
If Samuel Alito resigns or announces their intent to resign from the Supreme Court before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Supreme Court
- Death is not resignation and will not resolve a market to Yes.
Rules for each outcome
- Samuel Alito
- If Samuel Alito resigns or announces their intent to resign from the Supreme Court before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Clarence Thomas
- If Clarence Thomas resigns or announces their intent to resign from the Supreme Court before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- John Roberts
- If John Roberts resigns or announces their intent to resign from the Supreme Court before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Sonia Sotomayor
- If Sonia Sotomayor resigns or announces their intent to resign from the Supreme Court before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Brett Kavanaugh
- If Brett Kavanaugh resigns or announces their intent to resign from the Supreme Court before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Elena Kagan
- If Elena Kagan resigns or announces their intent to resign from the Supreme Court before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Amy Coney Barrett
- If Amy Coney Barrett resigns or announces their intent to resign from the Supreme Court before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Neil Gorsuch
- If Neil Gorsuch resigns or announces their intent to resign from the Supreme Court before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ketanji Brown Jackson
- If Ketanji Brown Jackson resigns or announces their intent to resign from the Supreme Court before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
