KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Samuel Alito 57%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$41.7K
High liquiditySpread
0.9 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Dec 21, 24, 3:00 PM UTCJan 20, 29, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How many supreme court justices will Trump appoint during his current term
Manifold MarketsWill the number of U.S. Supreme Court Justices confirmed between June 15, 2026 and January 20, 2029 be at least one?
Manifold MarketsHow many Supreme Court justices will the President confirm?
KalshiHow many justices will be appointed to the Supreme Court during the current presidential term?
Manifold MarketsWhat will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump's term?
KalshiWill the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends?
KalshiRules
If the named outcome resigns or announces their intent to resign from the Supreme Court before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Supreme Court
- Death is not resignation and will not resolve a market to Yes.
Open markets
US Politics
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+35 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term??
- Kalshi prices Samuel Alito at 57% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term? resolve?
- Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term? is scheduled to resolve on January 20, 2029.
- How is Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome resigns or announces their intent to resign from the Supreme Court before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.