PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 98%+0.6pt
Market quality
79 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$976.6
Liquidity
$96.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
1.6% / 1.9%
Spread
0.3 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
-0.2 pts
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Jul 25, 25, 6:48 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
PolymarketWill Trump be impeached?
KalshiTrump impeached before Iran war's end?
Manifold MarketsWil Trump be impeached by the House in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill President Trump be impeached during his term?
KalshiWill Donald Trump be impeached and removed during his second term?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Open markets
PoliticsKALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Total Vol
- $29.2M
- 24h Vol
- $945.4K
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.4%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.7M
- 24h Vol
- $656.2K
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate46.6%
- D-House, R-Senate35.9%
- R-House, R-Senate-1.0pt15.5%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $12.2M
KALSHIRhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Helena Foulkes-1.4pt98%
- Dan McKee+1.4pt2%
- Gregory Stevens-0.1pt0%
- Total Vol
- $858.7K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva52%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+1.0pt45.1%
- Renan Santos+0.8pt2%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)-1.0pt74%
- New People (NL)+0.1pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.2pt3%
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Next French Presidential Election
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Texas Senate winner?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026??
- Polymarket prices No at 98% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? resolve?
- Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.