Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 95.9%
Forecasters
78
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleNov 15, 25, 1:27 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Kristi Noem impeached by the house in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Kristi Noem be impeached by the house in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump be impeached?
KalshiWill Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
PolymarketTrump impeached before Iran war's end?
Manifold MarketsWill President Trump be impeached during his term?
KalshiRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
US PoliticsPOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $25M+6.0pt100%
- $10M+3.6pt99%
- $50M+12.0pt99%
+11 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.5M
- 24h Vol
- $2.1M
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Total Vol
- $29.2M
- 24h Vol
- $945K
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.4%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.8M
- 24h Vol
- $635.3K
KALSHIRhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Helena Foulkes-1.5pt98%
- Dan McKee+1.5pt2%
- Gregory Stevens-0.1pt0%
- Total Vol
- $901K
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate46.6%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt35.9%
- R-House, R-Senate15.5%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $12.2M
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.1pt57.6%
- Benjamin Netanyahu-0.5pt28.3%
- Naftali Bennett-1.0pt7.1%
+16 more outcomes
- Texas Senate winner?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- What will Trump say during the RNC Midterm Convention (Night 1)?
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- MN-01 House winner?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Wil Trump be impeached by the House in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 96% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Wil Trump be impeached by the House in 2026? resolve?
- Wil Trump be impeached by the House in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.