Will Donald Trump be impeached by the House of Representatives during his second term?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 62.8%
Forecasters
52
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 24 minutes ago
Nov 6, 24, 6:44 PM UTCJan 22, 29, 7:59 AM UTC
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KalshiWill President Trump be impeached during his term?
KalshiRules
This question resolves YES if the US House of Representatives votes to pass articles of impeachment against Donald Trump between his inauguration on 20 Jan 2025 and the end of his term of office on January 20, 2029.
- This question resolves NO if impeachment by the House has not occurred and it is 21 Jan 2025, or if Donald Trump ceases to be US President for other reasons (e.g. death, resignation) and therefore cannot be impeached.
- Note that this question resolves YES to the House of Representatives voting for impeachment alone, and does not require Senate conviction or removal from office.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Donald Trump be impeached by the House of Representatives during his second term??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 63% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Donald Trump be impeached by the House of Representatives during his second term? resolve?
- Will Donald Trump be impeached by the House of Representatives during his second term? is scheduled to resolve on January 22, 2029.
- How is Will Donald Trump be impeached by the House of Representatives during his second term? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This question resolves YES if the US House of Representatives votes to pass articles of impeachment against Donald Trump between his inauguration on 20 Jan 2025 and the end of his term of office on January 20, 2029.