Will Donald Trump be impeached by the House of Representatives during his second term?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 65.1%
Forecasters
52
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleNov 6, 24, 6:44 PM UTCJan 22, 29, 7:59 AM UTC
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FutuurRules
This question resolves YES if the US House of Representatives votes to pass articles of impeachment against Donald Trump between his inauguration on 20 Jan 2025 and the end of his term of office on January 20, 2029.
- This question resolves NO if impeachment by the House has not occurred and it is 21 Jan 2025, or if Donald Trump ceases to be US President for other reasons (e.g. death, resignation) and therefore cannot be impeached.
- Note that this question resolves YES to the House of Representatives voting for impeachment alone, and does not require Senate conviction or removal from office.
