Will Trump get impeached by the House and Senate before the end of his 2nd term?
PoliticsOne-OffUS Politics2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 87.7%
Forecasters
27
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleFeb 5, 25, 6:46 PM UTCJan 1, 29, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Trump be impeached by the House again in his 2nd term?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump get impeached by the House before the end of his 2nd term?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump be impeached by the House again in his 2nd term?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump be impeached by the House of Representatives during his second term?
Manifold MarketsWill President Trump be impeached during his term?
KalshiWill Trump be impeached and removed from office?
KalshiRules
Update 2025-03-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Key Resolution Update:
- A 'Yes' outcome requires that, in addition to a House impeachment vote, the Senate reaches a two-thirds majority vote during the impeachment trial.
- Update 2026-10-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): * If Donald Trump dies or retires before being impeached, the market will resolve No (and will not resolve to N/A).
