Will Donald Trump be impeached and removed during his second term?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 95%
Forecasters
85
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 19 hours ago
StaleNov 6, 24, 6:51 PM UTCJan 22, 29, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
This question resolves YES if Donald Trump is impeached by the House of Representatives, and also removed from the office of the US presidency.
- For that to happen, the House of Representatives would need to pass articles of impeachment, and the Senate would need to vote to convict Donald Trump by 2/3rds majority.
- A vote to convict immediately removes the President.
- This question resolves NO if impeachment and removal does not occur and it is 21 Jan 2029, or if Donald Trump ceases to be US President for other reasons (e.g. death, resignation).
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Donald Trump be impeached and removed during his second term??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 95% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Donald Trump be impeached and removed during his second term? resolve?
- Will Donald Trump be impeached and removed during his second term? is scheduled to resolve on January 22, 2029.
- How is Will Donald Trump be impeached and removed during his second term? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This question resolves YES if Donald Trump is impeached by the House of Representatives, and also removed from the office of the US presidency.
- Where else is Will Donald Trump be impeached and removed during his second term? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi.