Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 25, 2026, 5:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecastYes 5.6%
Forecasters
83
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated yesterday
StaleNov 6, 24, 6:51 PMJan 22, 29, 7:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes6%
Compare venues· No
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall85% match · verified | Medium | 83% | — | $3.5K | $212.6K | 18 minutes ago | Open → |
| Manifold MarketsThis page | — | 94% | — | — | — | yesterday |
Also available on Kalshi
Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?
2y
83%
17%
64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$525.4K
24h Vol$3.5K
KALSHIRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$185Jul 242d of dataJul 25
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Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.