Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo attack and not removed 87.9%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
14
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+0.7 pts
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleJan 20, 26, 7:45 PM UTCJan 20, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
0.3%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Trump be impeached and removed from office during his second term?
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Manifold MarketsWill Trump be impeached and removed from office?
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PolymarketRules
Resolves exactly according to these two markets, and their resolution dates:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/Noit/will-the-united-states-take-militar)(https://manifold.markets/embed/cash/will-donald-trump-be-impeached-and)
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the US attack a NATO member, and will Trump be impeached and removed from office??
- Manifold Markets prices No attack and not removed at 88% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will the US attack a NATO member, and will Trump be impeached and removed from office? resolve?
- Will the US attack a NATO member, and will Trump be impeached and removed from office? is scheduled to resolve on January 20, 2029.
- How is Will the US attack a NATO member, and will Trump be impeached and removed from office? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves exactly according to these two markets, and their resolution dates: