Will JD Vance be impeached and removed during Trump's second term?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 89.8%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 51 minutes ago
LaggingNov 6, 24, 7:55 PM UTCJan 22, 29, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will JD Vance be impeached during Trump's second term?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance become President during Trump’s second term?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance resign as US Vice President during Trump's second term?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the first member of Congress impeached or removed under Trump's current administration?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump be impeached and removed from office?
KalshiWill JD Vance be elected President of the United States in 2028?
FutuurRules
This question resolves YES if JD Vance is impeached by the House of Representatives, and also removed from his office.
- The impeachment can be for vice president or president, whichever office JD Vance holds at the time of impeachment.
- For that to happen, the House of Representatives would need to pass articles of impeachment, and the Senate would need to vote to convict JD Vance by 2/3rds majority.
- A vote to convict immediately removes the officeholder.
- This question resolves NO if impeachment and removal does not occur and it is 21 Jan 2025.
- This question may resole NO early if JD Vance ceases to hold an executive office for other reasons before the end of Trump's second term (e.g. death, resignation).
