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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Maduro Prison Time?
Maduro Prison Time?

Maduro Prison Time?

0.1% (24h)One-OffPoliticsLatin AmericaCrime & Justice1y
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
No prison time
No prison time 28%
Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality

80 / 100

High quality
24h Volume

$2.9K

Liquidity

$76.7K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

6.4% / 6.8%

Spread

6.3%

Moderate spread
7d Change

+4.1%

Market data

Updated 2 minutes ago

Jan 4, 26, 5:37 PMDec 31, 27, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

No prison time28%

Rules

Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy.

Polymarket
  • Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V.
  • Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
  • This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
  • This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals.
  • If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."

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Rules

Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy.

Polymarket
  • Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V.
  • Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
  • This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
  • This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals.
  • If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."