PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No prison time · —
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Stored reference
No prison time 55%Leader of 5 outcomes
No prison time 55%Market quality
74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$223.5
Liquidity
$90.8K
High liquidityBid / Ask
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No prison timeSpread
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Comments
29
7d Change
-8.0 pts
Market data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Jan 4, 26, 5:30 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Market depth · No prison time
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Maduro guilty of all counts?
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Manifold MarketsRules
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy.
- Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
- This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
- This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals.
- If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "the named outcome."
- If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "the named outcome."
