PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityNo prison time 37.1%+2.0ptLeader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
70 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$460.4
Liquidity
$21.1K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
35.0% / 36.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Jan 4, 26, 5:30 PMDec 31, 27, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
No prison time36%
Volume trend
$460Jul 227d of dataJul 28
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Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy.
- Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V.
- Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
- This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
- This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals.
- If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."