PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityYes 48%+0.2%
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$145.6
Liquidity
$378
Low liquidityBid / Ask
24.0% / 72.0%
Spread
200.0%
Wide spread7d Change
+21.0%
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Jan 4, 26, 5:28 PMDec 31, 27, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes48%
Volume trend
$146Jul 515d of dataJul 26
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V.
- NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
- If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
- The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case.