Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
3.0% (24h)YearlyPoliticsUS PoliticsCrime & Justice5mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityDonald Trump 48%+3.0%Leader of 18 outcomes
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$100.5
Liquidity
$24.3K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
43.0% / 48.0%
Spread
11.6%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 21 minutes ago
Mar 5, 26, 3:00 PMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Donald Trump48%
Volume trend
$101Jul 225d of dataJul 26
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If Donald Trump is named in any context in any documents held by the federal government directly regarding Jeffrey Epstein released before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Donald Trump is considered to appear in the documents when either the exact term, phrase, or name specified appears in the content of the documents, or is present by way of commonly used abbreviation, direct synonym, or unmistakable reference including in any official appendices, footnotes, or tables.
- The documents must be publicly released after Issuance and before the expiration date.
- If a document is publicly released for the first time after Issuance, it is considered novel in its entirety.
- For example, a newly released email containing a previously published news article as an attachment counts.
- However, documents that were already fully public do not count.