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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Science
  3. Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?
Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?

Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?

2.0% (24h)ScienceYearly6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 14%+0.0%
Market quality

44 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$68.1

Liquidity

$3.5K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

11.0% / 18.0%

Spread

63.6%

Wide spread
7d Change

-2.5%

Market data

Updated 10 minutes ago

May 15, 26, 10:06 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes14%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Japanese government declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • For the purposes of this market, only information from the national Government of Japan will qualify.
  • Information from individual prefectures or municipalities will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
  • Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
  • The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of Japan; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Japanese government declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • For the purposes of this market, only information from the national Government of Japan will qualify.
  • Information from individual prefectures or municipalities will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
  • Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
  • The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of Japan; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.