KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 90%
Market quality
69 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$74.3
Liquidity
$40.1K
High liquidityBid / Ask
10.0% / 11.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Aug 28, 25, 8:45 PM UTCAug 1, 99, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
If Elon Musk visits Mars before the earlier of his death or Aug 1, 2099, then the market resolves to Yes.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime??
- Kalshi prices No at 90% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime? resolve?
- Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime? is scheduled to resolve on August 1, 2099.
- How is Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Elon Musk visits Mars before the earlier of his death or Aug 1, 2099, then the market resolves to Yes.
