Will Elon Musk visit a country in the Middle East in 2026?
Corporate ActionsOne-OffTechSpaceGeopoliticsMiddle East2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 5:24 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastDoes not visit 65.3%Leader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
10
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleAug 2, 26, 5:20 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the month in 2026 in which Elon Musk physically visits a country in the Middle East or to “the named outcome”.
- Definition of “Visit”: Elon Musk must physically enter the territory of any Middle Eastern country.
- Definition of “Middle East”: the region is strictly defined as the sovereign territory or designated administrative zones of the following 17 countries/territories: Bahrain, Cyprus, Egypt, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Palestine, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Turkiye, United Arab Emirates, and Yemen.
- Exclusions: Remote or virtual appearances (such as his video-link address to the Tel Aviv Smart Mobility Summit in May 2026) do not qualify as a physical visit.
- Brief airport layovers where he does not leave the terminal will not count.