PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 1, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
No 98%-0.2pt
Market quality
70 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3.7K
Liquidity
$46.3K
High liquidityBid / Ask
1.7% / 2.0%
Spread
0.3 pt
Tight spreadComments
8
7d Change
+0.2 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingApr 30, 26, 6:28 PMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM
Trends
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is physically aboard any aircraft or spacecraft that reaches or crosses the U.S. space threshold by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The U.S. space threshold is defined as 50 miles above mean sea level.
- Whether Donald Trump crosses the internationally recognized Karaman line will not impact this market’s resolution.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Open markets
US Politics
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+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.2M
- 24h Vol
- $807.9K
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.3pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt11%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 more outcomes
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- December 31+1.0pt62%
- October 31+3.0pt40%
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- J.D. Vance+2.9pt52%
- Marco Rubio+1.3pt18%
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+39 more outcomes
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- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Total Vol
- $63.7M
- 24h Vol
- $328.3K
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.1pt20%
- Jon Ossoff-0.1pt16%
- Gavin Newsom15%
+48 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Trump goes to space in 2026??
- Polymarket prices No at 98% as of September 1, 2026.
- When does Trump goes to space in 2026? resolve?
- Trump goes to space in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Trump goes to space in 2026? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is physically aboard any aircraft or spacecraft that reaches or crosses the U.S. space threshold by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.