Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNothing other than the actual pizza food 38.8%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
23
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleFeb 15, 26, 6:22 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 6:19 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
KalshiWill anyone be criminally charged based on evidence from the Epstein files in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIs "jerky" a reference to human meat in Epstein files?
Manifold MarketsWill over-redaction render the Epstein files useless?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump release more Epstein files in Sep 2026?
KalshiWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketRules
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves based on the most credible interpretation of "pizza" references in the Epstein files released by the Department of Justice.
- The word 'pizza' appears more than 900 times in the released documents.
- Resolution will be determined by examining the actual context and content of these references as documented in the official DOJ Epstein Files library at https://www.justice.gov/epstein.
- The market resolves to whichever answer best reflects the preponderance of evidence regarding what "pizza" actually refers to in these communications.
- Following passage of the Epstein Files Transparency Act in November 2025, the U.S. Department of Justice released files in stages, with over 3 million pages released on January 30, 2026.
Open markets
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $157.2K
- 24h Vol
- $119.4K
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+10.0pt60%
- 2027+2.0pt31.4%
- 2026+2.0pt8.6%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.7pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $10.6M
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-4.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $377.7K
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.5pt23%
+2 more outcomes
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for What does pizza refer to in Epstein files (in addition to actual pizza food)??
- Manifold Markets prices Nothing other than the actual pizza food at 39% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does What does pizza refer to in Epstein files (in addition to actual pizza food)? resolve?
- What does pizza refer to in Epstein files (in addition to actual pizza food)? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is What does pizza refer to in Epstein files (in addition to actual pizza food)? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution Criteria