Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 80%
Forecasters
13
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleDec 18, 25, 10:59 PM UTCDec 18, 26, 10:49 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
KalshiWill Trump release more Epstein files in Oct 2026?
KalshiWill anyone be criminally charged based on evidence from the Epstein files in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhat does pizza refer to in Epstein files (in addition to actual pizza food)?
Manifold MarketsIs "jerky" a reference to human meat in Epstein files?
Manifold MarketsHas anyone from the Epstein files who communicated with him directly (or Epstein himself) engaged in cannibalism?
Manifold MarketsRules
Market Resolution Criteria
- • Yes (Useless): No new Epstein-related federal prosecutions initiated by end date Dec. 31 2026 11:59pm with public statements from DOJ attributing failure to redactions.
- • No (Useful): At least one indictment or guilty plea directly enabled by file contents, confirmed via court dockets.
- This is my first prediction question.
- I will monitor comments for links or input that points toward resolution, above and beyond my own observations.
- Update 2026-01-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has decided to keep the market open and not resolve early.
