Current community forecast
0-1 million 57%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
9
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 22 hours ago
StaleMar 13, 26, 2:40 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will nearly all of the Epstein files be released before 2027?
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Manifold MarketsRules
I define released as- Open and accessible by the public.
- (includes any files even ones with redactions), also any unofficial leak or release does not count, I will only use the official number from the DOJ.
- If 2.5 million pages are released before the end of 2026 the market is resolved.
- Resolution Criteria
- The Department of Justice published over 3 million additional pages responsive to the Epstein Files Transparency Act in February 2026, and the Department stated that the January 30 release would be the final one, and that it had met its legal obligations.
- The market resolves based on the total number of pages released and publicly accessible (including redacted pages) by December 31, 2026.
