Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastAt least one credible mainstream news source reports by EO2026 that the files are either partially redacted or partly missing or suspects the files were altered (opinion section OK) 100%Leader of 22 outcomes
Forecasters
164
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+2.2 pts
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleNov 18, 25, 11:15 PM UTCFeb 28, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsWill the US Justice Department or a major outlet confirm “The Duke” in Epstein files is not Prince Andrew?
Manifold MarketsHas anyone from the Epstein files who communicated with him directly (or Epstein himself) engaged in vampirism?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump release more Epstein files in Oct 2026?
KalshiRules
Resolution Criteria
- Add your own!
- The House and Senate have passed a measure compelling the Department of Justice to release files regarding Jeffrey Epstein, with the House passing 427-1 and the Senate approving by unanimous consent.
- The measure will head to President Trump's desk, and he has said he would sign it.
- Each answer resolves YES if the specified event occurs, NO if it does not occur, or N/A at my discretion.
- Thousands of documents were released by the House Oversight and Government Reform Committee last week, including emails between Jeffrey Epstein and former Harvard President Larry Summers.
