US x Cuba economic deal by which date?
Trade PolicyOne-OffUS PoliticsGeopoliticsLatin AmericaRussia / Ukraine3mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
December 31 11%Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
47 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$8.5
Liquidity
$1.3K
Low liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
19
7d Change
-9.5 pts
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Mar 13, 26, 6:14 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by which date?
PolymarketUS x Cuba military clash in 2026?
PolymarketWill Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?
KalshiMilitary conflict between the US and Cuba before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhat countries will acquire sovereign territory or economic rights within any part of Greenland in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
- If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
- Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
- Only deals which are officially announced by both parties will qualify .