PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityNo 97%
Market quality
69 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$5
Liquidity
$70.1K
High liquidityBid / Ask
2.7% / 3.7%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spread7d Change
+0.6 pts
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Jan 4, 26, 12:19 AMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes3%
Volume trend
$5Jul 326d of dataJul 28
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This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect.
- If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.