PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored reference
No 98%
No 98%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$68K
High liquidityOpen interest
$34.2K
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Comments
23
7d Change
-0.1 pts
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Jan 4, 26, 12:19 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Venezuela become the 51st state in trump’s term?
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Manifold MarketsWill there be a 51st state in the USA before 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the 51st state in Trump's term?
KalshiWill Trump add a 51st state to the US?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect.
- If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.