Will Venezuela become more authoritarian in 2026?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Venezuela become more authoritarian in 2026??

Manifold Markets prices No at 79.9% as of October 27, 2026.

When does Will Venezuela become more authoritarian in 2026? resolve?

Will Venezuela become more authoritarian in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on March 2, 2027.

How is Will Venezuela become more authoritarian in 2026? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This question will use The Economist's Democracy Index, resolving YES if Venezuela's democracy score is lower in the next report (to be published in early 2027) compared to the last report (which has yet to be published, but should come out in early 2026).

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POLYMARKET

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

• Gadi Eizenkot+4.3pt57.9%
• Benjamin Netanyahu+1.0pt29.5%
• Naftali Bennett-3.0pt10.5%

+16 more outcomes

Total Vol

$56.7M

24h Vol

$3M

POLYMARKET

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

• Yashar-1.0pt68.3%
• Likud30.7%
• Together+0.3pt1%

+3 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

• October 24+0.9pt100%
• October 28+7.3pt97%
• October 31+8.0pt91%

+17 more outcomes

KALSHI

Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?

• Gadi Eizenkot+3.0pt51.5%
• Benjamin Netanyahu-1.0pt27.5%
• Naftali Bennett-2.0pt

POLYMARKET

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

• October 24-0.1pt100%
• October 27+4.3pt98%
• October 31+6.0pt94%

+28 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?

• March 31+3.0pt60%
• December 31+0.8pt37%
• November 30+1.0pt25%

+20 more outcomes

• Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
• Iran full airspace closure by which date?
• When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
• Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by which date?
• Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?
• Total Internet Blackout in Iran by which date?
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
• Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place