Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 99.2%
Forecasters
13
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 20 hours ago
StaleFeb 17, 25, 5:12 PM UTCJan 2, 27, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
The United States currently has several territories and jurisdictions that could potentially become the 51st state.
- The most likely candidates are:
- Puerto Rico: A U.S. territory that has held multiple non-binding referendums on statehood, with the most recent in 2020 showing 52.3% support for statehood.
- A binding referendum may occur in November 2023.
- Washington, D.C.: The nation's capital has long sought statehood, with several bills passing the House but facing Senate opposition.
- Resolution Criteria
