Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)
One-Off9d
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 11, 2026, 5:22 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Above 260 · —
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Stored price
Above 290 Stored bid–ask45%–46%Collected: Prices are percentages of payout, before fees; these stored observations are not executable quotes.Market line of 8 lines
Above 290 Stored bid–ask45%–46%Collected: Prices are percentages of payout, before fees; these stored observations are not executable quotes.Market quality
46 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
—
Open interest unknownBid / Ask
— / —
Above 260Spread
—
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Oct 9, 26, 4:00 PM UTCOct 20, 26, 1:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 260
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Rules
If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 290 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:IMF PortWatch
- The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 260
- If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 260 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 270
- If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 270 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 280
- If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 280 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 290
- If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 290 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 300
- If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 300 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 310
- If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 310 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 320
- If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 320 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 330
- If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 330 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.